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If you look at a basic price chart, you usually see two things: the price candles and the volume bars at the bottom. Most traders stop there. They look at the price to see where the asset is, and the volume to see how many people traded it.

But in the world of crypto derivatives (Futures and Perpetuals), there is a third metric that is arguably more important than volume: Open Interest (OI).

While volume tells you what has happened, Open Interest gives you a clue about what might happen next. It is the measure of potential energy in the market, waiting to be released.

The Core Difference Defined

To trade derivatives effectively, you must distinguish between these two concepts.

1. Trading Volume (The History)
Volume counts the total number of contracts traded during a specific period. If Alice buys 1 BTC contract and Bob sells 1 BTC contract, the volume is 1. Once the trade is finished, the volume is recorded and "gone." It represents realized activity.

2. Open Interest (The Potential)
Open Interest counts the total number of active contracts that are arguably still "open" in the market. It represents money that is currently in the game and has not yet been settled.

• If Alice opens a Long position and keeps it open overnight, OI increases.
• If Alice closes her position, OI decreases.

How to Combine Them for Signals

The magic happens when you analyze Price, Volume, and Open Interest together. This triad reveals the true intent of the market.

Scenario A: Price Rising + OI Rising (Bullish)
If the price is going up and Open Interest is also increasing, it means new money is entering the market to support the trend. Traders are opening fresh Long positions. This confirms a strong, healthy bull trend.

Scenario B: Price Rising + OI Falling (Weakness)
If the price is going up but Open Interest is dropping, be careful. This usually means the price rally is being driven by "Short Covering" (bears buying back to close their losing trades) rather than bulls buying to open new ones. This trend is weak and likely to reverse.

Scenario C: Price Falling + OI Rising (Bearish)
If the price is crashing but Open Interest is skyrocketing, it indicates that traders are aggressively opening new Short positions. They are betting heavily that the price will go lower. This confirms a strong bear trend.

The Danger Zone: High OI and Volatility

When Open Interest reaches historic highs, it acts like a powder keg. It means there is a massive amount of leverage in the system.

In this environment, a small price movement can trigger a Liquidation Cascade.

• Long Squeeze: If the price drops slightly, over-leveraged Longs are forced to sell. This selling drives the price down further, liquidating more Longs, creating a domino effect.
• Short Squeeze: Conversely, if the price pumps, Shorts are forced to buy, sending the price vertical.

Smart traders watch for spikes in OI to anticipate these violent moves before they happen.

Conclusion

Trading Volume shows you the intensity of the current battle. Open Interest shows you how many soldiers are still left on the battlefield.

In the cryptocurrency market, "volume" is the most cited metric after price. When Bitcoin rallies, analysts immediately ask, "Was there volume behind the move?"

But in crypto, the word "volume" can refer to two completely different things. Unlike the stock market, where all trades settle through a central clearinghouse, crypto activity is split between centralized exchanges and the blockchain itself.

To truly understand market sentiment, you must distinguish between Trading Volume and On-Chain Volume. Confusing the two can lead to a disastrous misreading of the market.

What is Trading Volume? (The Speculative Engine)

Trading volume (or Exchange Volume) refers to the total amount of an asset bought and sold on exchanges like BYDFi.

Crucially, the vast majority of this activity happens off-chain. When you buy Bitcoin on a centralized exchange Spot market, no transaction occurs on the Bitcoin blockchain. Instead, the exchange simply updates its internal database, debiting the seller and crediting the buyer.

• What it measures: Speculation, liquidity, and short-term interest.
• The Pro: It is fast and cheap.
• The Con: It can be manipulated. "Wash trading" (where a trader buys and sells to themselves to inflate numbers) is easier to hide in exchange volume figures than on the blockchain.

What is On-Chain Volume? (The Truth Layer)

On-chain volume refers to transactions that are validated and recorded on the blockchain ledger. This happens when a user withdraws funds from an exchange to a cold wallet, pays for a service, or interacts with a DeFi protocol.

Because every transaction incurs a network fee (gas), on-chain volume is rarely fake. It costs too much money to spam the network with high-value transactions just to create an illusion.

• What it measures: Economic utility, adoption, and "Whale" movements.
• The Signal: If price is dropping, but on-chain volume is spiking, it might indicate that big players are accumulating assets and moving them to cold storage (a bullish signal), rather than selling them.

The NVT Ratio: Valuing the Network

Sophisticated traders combine price and on-chain volume to determine if a coin is overvalued. This is known as the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio.

Think of it as the P/E (Price to Earnings) ratio of crypto.

• High NVT: The network value (Market Cap) is high, but the on-chain volume is low. This suggests the price is driven purely by speculation (bubble territory).
• Low NVT: The market cap is low relative to the massive amount of value moving through the network. This suggests the asset is undervalued.

Why You Need Both

Relying on just one metric gives you a blind spot.

• If you only look at Trading Volume, you might be fooled by a wash-trading bot on a low-cap altcoin.
• If you only look at On-Chain Volume, you will miss the massive price-moving events that happen on derivatives exchanges, where billions of dollars in volume can liquidate positions without a single satoshi moving on-chain.

Conclusion

To act like a professional analyst, you need to synthesize both data points. Use Trading Volume to gauge short-term price action and liquidity. Use On-Chain Volume to confirm the long-term health and adoption of the network.

When the two align—high speculation matched by high utility—that is when the sustainable bull runs happen.

In the modern financial world, we have been conditioned to expect everything for free. Trading apps advertise "Zero Commission" and "No Fees," leading millions of retail investors to believe they are getting a great deal.

But the old adage remains true: If the product is free, you are the product.

The mechanism that makes zero-fee trading possible is called Payment for Order Flow (PFOF). While it started in the stock market (popularized by apps like Robinhood), it has quietly seeped into the cryptocurrency industry. Understanding PFOF is essential to realizing that your "free" trade might actually be costing you money.

How PFOF Actually Works

PFOF is essentially a kickback system.

When you click "Buy" on a brokerage app that uses PFOF, your order does not go directly to a public exchange (like the NYSE or a transparent crypto order book). Instead, the broker routes your order to a third-party wholesaler known as a Market Maker.

Why? Because the Market Maker pays the broker for the privilege of executing your trade.

1. The User: Places a buy order for 1 BTC.
2. The Broker: Sells that order to a Market Maker for a fee.
3. The Market Maker: Executes the trade, often making a profit on the spread (the difference between the buy and sell price).

The Conflict of Interest

The controversy around PFOF stems from a massive conflict of interest. Your broker is legally supposed to give you the "Best Execution" (the best possible price). However, they are financially incentivized to route your order to the Market Maker who pays them the highest rebate, not necessarily the one who gives you the best price.

In the crypto world, this often manifests as wider spreads.

• Scenario A (Transparent Exchange): You buy Bitcoin at $90,000. You pay a small transparent fee.
• Scenario B (PFOF Broker): You pay "zero fees," but the price of Bitcoin is quoted at $90,100.

That extra $100 is the hidden cost. You didn't pay a commission, but you received a worse entry price. Over time, these hidden costs can bleed a portfolio dry, far exceeding what a standard commission would have cost.

PFOF in Crypto: A Regulatory Wild West

In traditional finance (equities), PFOF is heavily regulated by the SEC and is actually banned in major jurisdictions like the United Kingdom, Canada, and Australia due to ethical concerns.

In crypto, however, regulations are still catching up. Many "zero-fee" crypto exchanges or brokerage apps rely entirely on PFOF revenue models. They obscure the real market price to skim profits from unsuspecting retail traders.

The Solution: Direct Market Access

For traders who care about precision, the alternative is trading on platforms that offer direct access to the order book. When you trade on a professional Spot market, you are interacting directly with other buyers and sellers. The exchange charges a transparent fee, but in return, you get the true market price and immediate execution transparency.

Real trading isn't about hiding costs; it's about optimizing execution. Whether you are scalping small moves or investing for the long haul, knowing the true price of the asset is non-negotiable.

Conclusion

PFOF is the invisible tax on retail traders. While "zero fees" sound attractive on a marketing banner, savvy investors know that paying a small, transparent fee for proper execution is often the cheaper option in the long run.

When we talk about cryptocurrency adoption, the spotlight often falls on the US or Europe. However, Southeast Asia is quietly becoming the engine of global growth, and Indonesia is leading the charge. At the center of this Indonesian crypto boom sits one dominant player: Tokocrypto.

Founded in 2018, Tokocrypto isn't just another exchange; it is the first entity in Indonesia to be registered under the Commodity Futures Trading Regulatory Agency (BAPPEBTI). It has become the gateway for millions of Indonesians entering the Web3 space.

The Hybrid Token: What is TKO?

Central to the ecosystem is the Tokocrypto Token (TKO). While many exchange tokens are purely for discounts (like holding BNB for cheaper fees), TKO aims for something more ambitious: a CeDeFi (Centralized + Decentralized Finance) hybrid model.

Launched in 2021 via the Binance Launchpad, TKO was designed to bridge the gap between the ease of a centralized exchange and the freedom of DeFi.

• Exchange Utility: Holders use TKO for trading fee discounts, airdrop entitlements, and merchandise redemption.
• DeFi Utility: TKO serves as a yield-farming tool on third-party DeFi platforms and plays a role in the emerging Indonesian NFT landscape via TokoMall.

The Binance Connection

The most bullish factor for Tokocrypto is its parentage. In late 2022, Binance officially acquired Tokocrypto. This wasn't a hostile takeover but a strategic consolidation.

For users, this means the platform operates with Binance-grade security and liquidity depth. It allows Tokocrypto to leverage Binance’s infrastructure while navigating the specific, strict regulatory environment of Indonesia. It provides a level of trust that few local exchanges can match.

Beyond Trading: The Tokoverse

Tokocrypto is building a comprehensive ecosystem known as the "Tokoverse." This includes:

• TokoMall: A marketplace for digital collectibles and NFTs, empowering local Indonesian artists.
• TokoLaunchpad: A platform allowing users to invest in new, vetted crypto projects at an early stage.
• TokoCare: A philanthropic arm using blockchain for transparency in charity.

Why Regional Exchanges Matter

You might ask, "Why not just use a global exchange?" The answer is Fiat On-Ramps.

Global exchanges often struggle with local bank transfers in specific currencies like the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR). Regional champions like Tokocrypto solve this by integrating directly with local banks and payment gateways. This allows users to move from fiat to Spot trading in minutes, removing the friction that usually stops new investors.

Conclusion

Tokocrypto represents the maturation of the Asian crypto market. By combining regulatory compliance with the power of Binance's tech stack, it has secured its place as a market leader. For investors looking at exchange tokens, TKO offers a unique bet on the adoption of crypto in the world's fourth most populous country.

MSCI’s Decision Marks a Turning Point for Crypto Treasury Companies

Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) has delivered a significant boost to crypto-linked equities by confirming that digital asset treasury companies will remain included in its global market indexes, at least for the time being. The announcement comes after weeks of speculation and intense investor debate, as market participants feared that a sudden exclusion could trigger massive capital outflows and damage confidence in publicly traded crypto-focused firms.

This decision was not made lightly. MSCI acknowledged growing feedback from institutional investors who argued that the crypto treasury model is still evolving and requires deeper analysis before any sweeping classification changes are enforced.

Strategy Shares React Strongly to the News

The market reaction was immediate and telling. Shares of Strategy, the company led by well-known Bitcoin advocate Michael Saylor and widely regarded as the world’s largest crypto treasury firm, jumped sharply in after-hours trading. Although the stock had dipped during regular trading hours, it reversed course and climbed around 5% once MSCI’s position became public.

The price movement highlighted just how sensitive crypto treasury companies are to index-related decisions. Inclusion in major benchmarks plays a crucial role in maintaining institutional demand, liquidity, and long-term investor confidence.

What MSCI Considers a Digital Asset Treasury Company

MSCI defines digital asset treasury companies, often referred to as DATCOs, as firms where digital assets account for 50% or more of total assets on the balance sheet. This definition places companies like Strategy squarely under the spotlight, as their business models are increasingly intertwined with long-term exposure to Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

Rather than enforcing immediate exclusions, MSCI announced that these companies will undergo a broader and more comprehensive review process aimed at distinguishing between operating businesses and entities whose primary activities resemble investment holdings.

Why MSCI Chose Caution Over Immediate Exclusion

In its official statement, MSCI explained that the broader consultation is intended to preserve consistency with the core objectives of its indexes. These benchmarks are designed to track the performance of operating companies, not entities that function primarily as investment vehicles.

However, MSCI also recognized that the rapid rise of crypto treasury strategies has blurred traditional boundaries. Many companies still generate revenue from software, technology, or other services while simultaneously holding large digital asset positions. This complexity makes a simple, one-size-fits-all exclusion approach increasingly difficult to justify.

Why Index Inclusion Matters for Crypto Stocks

Remaining inside MSCI indexes carries enormous implications. Inclusion ensures eligibility for passive index funds and ETFs, which collectively manage trillions of dollars in assets. These funds automatically allocate capital based on index composition, meaning that exclusion could have forced large-scale selling regardless of a company’s fundamentals.

Analysts estimate that removing major crypto treasury firms from indexes could have erased billions of dollars in passive capital inflows, putting sustained pressure on share prices and weakening institutional participation.

A Broader Signal to Institutional Investors

Beyond individual stocks, MSCI’s move sends a broader message to the market. It suggests that major financial infrastructure providers are not yet ready to push crypto-exposed companies to the sidelines. Instead, they are opting for a more measured approach that balances innovation with index integrity.

This stance may help stabilize sentiment around crypto-related equities, particularly after a volatile period in late 2025 when many crypto treasury stocks experienced sharp drawdowns amid concerns about sustainability and valuation.

The Rapid Growth of Corporate Crypto Treasuries

The rise of digital asset treasuries has been one of the most notable institutional trends of the past two years. More than 190 publicly traded companies now hold Bitcoin on their balance sheets, while dozens of others have diversified into Ether, Solana, and additional altcoins.

For many firms, crypto exposure is no longer a speculative side bet but a core strategic decision tied to long-term views on monetary policy, inflation, and digital finance.

What Comes Next for MSCI and Crypto Treasury Firms

While MSCI’s decision offers temporary relief, it is not the final word. The broader consultation process will likely shape how digital asset treasury companies are classified in future index reviews. Investors, asset managers, and companies themselves will be watching closely, as the outcome could redefine how crypto exposure fits into traditional equity markets.

For now, crypto treasury firms remain firmly in the game — and MSCI’s pause has given them valuable time to prove that their models deserve a lasting place in global indexes.

Ethereum Scalability Skyrockets as Developers Raise Blob Limit to 21, Paving the Way for Faster, Cheaper, and More Efficient Transactions Across the Network

Crypto Adoption Could Surge as Wealth Flows to Younger, Tech-Savvy Generations

Cryptocurrency adoption is no longer a distant possibility—it could soon become inevitable. As older generations, often hesitant to embrace digital assets, gradually transfer their wealth to younger, tech-savvy heirs, crypto could receive a significant influx of capital. Industry experts believe this generational shift might be the tipping point that finally propels crypto into mainstream adoption.

The Coming Wave of Wealth Transfer

Zac Prince, head of Galaxy Digital’s banking division, Galaxy One, recently shared insights on the Milk Road show, explaining why this shift could accelerate crypto adoption. He pointed out that younger generations feel frustrated because much of the world’s wealth is concentrated in the hands of older individuals. As these assets are inherited,  the

preferences of younger folks are going to matter more,  he said. This creates a unique opportunity for cryptocurrencies to capture a portion of wealth that has traditionally been confined to stocks, bonds, and other conventional investments.

The scale of this transfer is staggering. According to UBS’s 2025 Global Wealth Report, Americans collectively hold $163 trillion in wealth. Baby boomers, born between 1946 and 1964, account for more than half of this total, owning approximately $83.3 trillion. Other developed countries show similar trends, where older generations control a large share of

national wealth. This enormous pool of assets represents a potential game-changer for crypto adoption as younger, more tech-oriented investors gain control over these funds.

Younger Generations Are More Open to Crypto

Data shows that younger investors are far more likely to embrace crypto and other non-traditional assets. Coinbase’s Q4 State of Crypto report revealed that roughly 25% of younger traders held cryptocurrencies, derivatives, or private investments. By comparison, only 8% of older investors reported owning such assets.

Millennials and Gen Z grew up in a digital world, where apps, smartphones, and online banking are second nature. Unlike previous generations, they are accustomed to managing finances digitally, exploring alternative investments, and seeking higher-risk, higher-reward opportunities. As these generations inherit wealth, their preferences could reshape the financial landscape—and significantly boost crypto adoption.

Technology Is Driving the Shift

Another factor accelerating crypto adoption is the natural affinity younger generations have for technology. Prince emphasized that modern investment apps are designed for speed and simplicity, offering near-instant trading and multiple types of products within a single platform. Unlike traditional finance, which often requires scheduling meetings with brokers or financial advisers, these apps are intuitive and accessible.

Why XRP Is Emerging as the Hottest Crypto Trade of 2026

XRP has kicked off 2026 with an intensity few expected. While Bitcoin and Ether started the year with steady but modest gains, Ripple’s native token surged ahead, quickly capturing the spotlight across financial media and crypto markets alike. That momentum was strong enough for CNBC to publicly crown XRP as the most exciting crypto trade of the year so far — a title that instantly reignited global interest.

In just the first week of January, XRP climbed roughly 25%, dramatically outperforming both Bitcoin and Ethereum. But this rally is not being driven by hype alone. Beneath the price action lies a convergence of institutional demand, improving on-chain fundamentals, and renewed confidence in Ripple’s long-term vision.

Institutional Money Is Flowing Where Few Expected

One of the most telling signals behind XRP’s surge is the behavior of ETF investors. During the final quarter of last year — a period when crypto sentiment was relatively muted — capital quietly flowed into spot XRP exchange-traded funds. This was the opposite of what occurred with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which tended to move in lockstep with price volatility.

By early January, that patience paid off. XRP ETFs recorded nearly $100 million in inflows within days, pushing total cumulative inflows beyond $1.15 billion. Even more notable is the absence of any outflow days, a rare phenomenon that highlights sustained conviction rather than short-term speculation. For many investors, XRP represented a less crowded trade with significantly higher upside potential.

Social and On-Chain Signals Are Aligning

Market sentiment around XRP has shifted decisively. AI-driven analytics platforms tracking crypto conversations report that both retail traders and so-called  smart money accounts are leaning bullish. This alignment between public enthusiasm and experienced capital often precedes extended trends rather than short-lived pumps.

On-chain data reinforces this outlook. XRP balances on major exchanges, particularly Binance, have dropped to their lowest levels in nearly two years. When exchange reserves decline, it usually indicates that holders are moving assets into private wallets, signaling accumulation instead of preparation to sell.

At the same time, activity on the XRP Ledger has accelerated sharply. Transaction counts and network usage have surged by more than 50% in recent weeks, suggesting that demand is being driven by real usage rather than speculative churn.

Ripple’s Strategic Expansion Is Fueling Confidence

Beyond the charts, Ripple itself is executing aggressively. The company has deepened its footprint in Japan by partnering with major financial players such as Mizuho Bank, SMBC Nikko, and Securitize Japan. These collaborations aim to integrate the XRP Ledger into real-world financial infrastructure, strengthening its role in cross-border settlements and tokenization.

In the United States, Ripple has also taken a major step forward by securing conditional approval to establish Ripple National Trust Bank. This move positions the company closer to the heart of regulated finance, further boosting institutional trust. While Ripple has no immediate plans to go public, its recent fundraising round and reported $40 billion valuation have only reinforced investor confidence.

Why Traders Are Turning to BYDFi for XRP Exposure

As XRP attracts renewed global attention, traders are increasingly seeking platforms that combine liquidity, security, and advanced trading tools. BYDFi has emerged as a preferred choice for both new and experienced users looking to trade XRP efficiently.

The Anatomy of a Digital Mirage: A Deep Dive into the $3.9M Exploit That Fractured Flow's Reality

In the silent, algorithmic heart of a blockchain, truth is supposed to be absolute. A token either exists or it does not; its provenance is immutable, its ledger unforgiving. But on December 27th, that foundational truth on the Flow blockchain was subtly, catastrophically, broken. What unfolded was not a loud, violent heist, but a quiet act of digital forgery—a $3.9 million exploit that challenged the very principles of scarcity and ownership, forcing an entire network into a state of suspended animation to save itself.

The Ghost in the Machine: Protocol-Level Alchemy

The exploit was an exercise in sinister elegance. It targeted not a peripheral application, but the core protocol itself—specifically, a nuanced flaw within the Cadence smart contract programming language, the language that defines the rules of engagement for every asset on Flow. This vulnerability resided in the runtime, the environment where Cadence code executes.

Here, the attacker discovered a dangerous semantic gap. They found a way to manipulate the system's internal logic to duplicate, or ghost,  existing digital assets. This was not minting new tokens, a process governed by strict supply controls and permissions. This was something far more disorienting: creating perfect, unauthorized copies of valuable tokens directly on the ledger. It was alchemy at the protocol level—spinning counterfeit value from the thin air of a code flaw, bypassing every economic safeguard designed to prevent such a scenario.

The initial financial phantom, a mirage of duplicated assets, quickly solidified into $3.9 million in confirmed, tangible risk.

The Circuit Breaker: A Network's Drastic Pact for Survival

As the scale of the silent replication became clear, the decentralized community governing Flow faced a monumental decision. Traditional, slower responses were inadequate against an exploit replicating at blockchain speed. Their solution was radical and unanimous: a coordinated network halt.

Within a remarkable six-hour window from the first malicious transaction, the global network of Flow validators executed a graceful, yet total, shutdown. The blockchain was placed into a read-only deep freeze.  Transactions ceased. The state of every account was crystallized at a specific block. This strategic paralysis served a critical purpose: it severed every possible exit ramp for the counterfeit assets, containing the digital spill. Crucially, it also provided forensic teams with a static crime scene—a frozen moment in time to dissect the exploit's mechanics without the chaos of ongoing attacks.

This defensive move was amplified by swift action from key cryptocurrency exchanges. Alerted to the threat, they froze deposits and trading of the identified counterfeit tokens, creating a formidable financial perimeter around the attacker's spoils and preventing the polluting of the broader crypto economy.

The Delicate Resurrection: Surgery, Not a Time Machine

The network remained in this frozen state for two tense days. The path to recovery was a delicate surgical procedure, not a simple reversal. Flow's team rejected the blunt instrument of a traditional hard fork, which would have rewritten history and potentially eroded trust.

Instead, they engineered an  isolated recovery process, ratified by network governance. This intricate operation involved creating a new, patched chain that preserved the complete and legitimate history of every honest user's transaction. Like master restorers working on a forged painting, the team then used governance-approved authority to meticulously identify, isolate, and permanently destroy—burning into cryptographic nothingness—every single counterfeit token generated during the exploit. Throughout this high-stakes operation, over 99% of user accounts retained full access and functionality, a testament to the targeted nature of the response.

Echoes in the Market: A Token's Trial and a Platform's Crossroads

The shockwaves from the protocol-level breach resonated violently in the markets. The FLOW token, the lifeblood of the ecosystem, went into freefall. In the five hours following the exploit's discovery, it shed approximately 40% of its value, a brutal reflection of shaken confidence.

This crisis arrived at a pivotal moment for the Flow blockchain. Born from the visionary studio Dapper Labs—pioneers of the Crypto Kitties craze and the viral NBA Top Shot phenomenon—Flow was engineered to be the scalable, consumer-friendly home for the next generation of digital assets and experiences. It rode the towering NFT wave of 2021 to spectacular heights. Yet, as the broader NFT market cooled into a winter of subdued trading and shifting focus toward utility, Flow's momentum had stalled. The exploit acted as a harsh accelerant on this declining trajectory, pushing its token to multi-year lows and spotlighting the immense challenges of maintaining security and relevance in a ruthlessly competitive landscape.

Forging a Hardened Future: From Post-Mortem to Protocol Immune System

In the exhaustive technical post-mortem that followed, the Flow Foundation detailed its path to remediation. The immediate wound was closed: the specific Cadence runtime vulnerability was patched with surgical precision. But the response extended far beyond a single fix.

The Foundation instituted a regime of stricter runtime checks, adding new layers of verification to prevent similar logical exploits. Its suite of regression testing was dramatically expanded, aiming to simulate future attacks before they can happen in reality. Collaborations with advanced forensic cybersecurity firms and relevant law enforcement agencies were deepened to pursue accountability. Furthermore, a commitment was made to significantly strengthen continuous network monitoring and enhance its bug-bounty programs, turning the global community of ethical hackers into a vital line of defense.

The December exploit on Flow will be recorded as more than just a line-item loss. It stands as a canonical case study in the evolving threats to blockchain security—a demonstration that the greatest danger can sometimes be not the theft of what exists, but the unauthorized creation of what should not. It forced a network to choose between continuity and integrity, and it chose to stop, heal, and rebuild. The journey ahead is one of hardening, a relentless pursuit of an immune system robust enough to ensure that in the digital reality Flow builds, every asset is not just logged, but incontrovertibly real.

Crypto and AI Weigh on Wall Street: Why US IPOs Fell Behind the S&P 500 in 2025

Investors chasing fresh public listings in 2025 would have earned less than those who simply stayed invested in the S&P 500, as volatile crypto and uneven AI debuts dragged overall IPO performance lower.

A Year of High Expectations and Modest Returns

The US IPO market delivered a year of contrasts in 2025. While the long-anticipated reopening of public markets brought several high-profile listings, returns failed to keep pace with broader equities. Companies that went public during the year posted a weighted average gain of 13.9%, trailing the S&P 500’s roughly 16% advance. Crypto and artificial intelligence offerings, once seen as engines of growth, played a central role in that underperformance.

Crypto Listings Reignite, but Volatility Follows

Optimism surged early in the year as regulatory clarity and a more supportive political environment encouraged Wall Street to back crypto-related listings with significant capital. Major digital asset firms finally made their way to public markets, raising billions and generating headlines. Yet the excitement proved uneven, and in many cases short-lived, as sharp price swings and shifting sentiment weighed on post-IPO performance.

AI IPOs Face Reality Checks

Artificial intelligence was another focal point for investors, but several AI-linked companies struggled to meet expectations. Businesses tied to data infrastructure and enterprise AI solutions failed to sustain early momentum after their debuts, as investors reassessed lofty valuations and questioned the speed at which AI-driven revenues could translate into durable profits.

Circle’s Blockbuster Debut and Subsequent Slide

One of the year’s most talked-about crypto IPOs was stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Group. Its $1.05 billion listing in June delivered a spectacular first day, with shares soaring after pricing at $31. The rally, however, faded as the broader crypto market cooled, and the stock retreated significantly from its post-IPO highs by year-end.

Gemini and Bullish Highlight the Risks

Not every crypto debut enjoyed even a brief surge. Gemini’s September IPO quickly turned into one of the weakest performers of the year, with shares tumbling sharply after an early rise. Bullish followed a similar path, delivering dramatic first-day gains in August only to slide back toward its IPO price months later, reinforcing concerns about sustainability in crypto valuations.

Big Deals Outperform Smaller Offerings

Performance gaps were also evident when comparing deal sizes. Larger IPOs proved far more resilient, while mid-sized offerings struggled to attract lasting investor demand. Listings valued above $1 billion significantly outperformed those in the $500 million to $1 billion range, reflecting a clear preference for scale and stability.

Winners and Losers Define a Selective Market

Medical equipment provider Medline emerged as one of the standout success stories, with its shares climbing strongly after its massive public debut. In contrast, gas exporter Venture Global became one of the year’s biggest disappointments, as its downsized IPO was followed by a steep decline in share price.

A Return to Fundamentals in Public Markets

Market observers agree that 2025 marked a decisive shift back to fundamentals. Investors became more selective, rewarding companies with clear strategies, strong operations, and credible growth paths, while punishing those reliant on hype or speculative narratives.

What 2025 Taught IPO Investors

The overarching lesson from 2025 is that the IPO market is open, but unforgiving. In a year shaped by crypto volatility and AI uncertainty, outperforming the S&P 500 required more than a compelling theme. Only companies with strong execution and long-term vision managed to earn lasting investor confidence.