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Crypto Selloff Driven by US Liquidity Shortage, Analyst Says
Crypto Selloff Explained: Why US Liquidity, Not Crypto, Is Behind the Market Crash
Key Points
The recent crypto market crash is driven by a shortage of US dollar liquidity rather than any fundamental weakness in Bitcoin or blockchain technology.
Bitcoin’s price action is closely tracking SaaS stocks, revealing a broader macroeconomic issue affecting long-duration assets.
Gold’s rally has absorbed a large share of available liquidity, leaving risk assets exposed.
Temporary US government shutdowns and Treasury cash management have intensified liquidity pressure.
Despite short-term volatility, leading macro analysts remain strongly bullish on crypto heading into 2026.A Market Crash That Sparked the Wrong Narrative
Over the weekend, the cryptocurrency market experienced a sharp and sudden downturn, wiping out more than $250 billion in total market capitalization. As prices fell rapidly, a familiar narrative resurfaced across social media and trading desks: Bitcoin is broken, crypto is over, and the cycle has ended.
However, according to prominent macro investor Raoul Pal, this interpretation completely misses the real cause of the selloff. The problem, he argues, has nothing to do with crypto itself. Instead, the downturn is the result of a broader liquidity drought in the United States financial system.
This distinction matters, because when markets misdiagnose the cause of a crash, they often misprice the recovery as well.
Bitcoin and SaaS Stocks Are Telling the Same Story
One of the strongest pieces of evidence against a crypto-specific explanation is Bitcoin’s recent correlation with Software as a Service stocks. These two asset classes appear unrelated on the surface, yet they have been moving almost in perfect sync.
The reason lies in how both assets are valued. Bitcoin and SaaS stocks are considered long-duration assets, meaning their worth is largely based on future adoption, growth, and cash flows rather than immediate returns. Assets with these characteristics are extremely sensitive to liquidity conditions and interest rates.
When liquidity tightens, investors pull capital from riskier, long-duration assets first. This explains why Bitcoin and SaaS stocks have declined together, while safer assets have held up better.
In other words, the market is not saying that crypto has failed. It is saying that liquidity is scarce.
Gold’s Rally and the Liquidity Drain Effect
Another overlooked factor in the recent selloff is gold. As gold prices surged, they absorbed a significant portion of marginal liquidity that would normally flow into assets like Bitcoin or growth stocks.
When liquidity is abundant, multiple asset classes can rise together. But when liquidity becomes constrained, capital flows toward perceived safety. In this environment, gold benefited, while risk assets paid the price.
This dynamic reinforces the idea that the selloff was not triggered by bad crypto news, regulatory shocks, or technological failures. It was driven by competition for limited liquidity.
How US Government Actions Intensified the Pressure
The liquidity squeeze did not happen in isolation. Temporary US government shutdowns and structural issues within the financial system added fuel to the fire.
In previous cycles, liquidity drains caused by the US Treasury rebuilding its cash balance were partially offset by funds flowing out of the Federal Reserve’s Reverse Repo Facility. That mechanism acted as a buffer, reducing the overall impact on markets.
Today, that buffer no longer exists. The Reverse Repo Facility has effectively been drained, meaning any Treasury cash rebuilding now results in a direct and unfiltered liquidity withdrawal from the system.
As liquidity leaves, risk assets react immediately.
FAQ
Is this crypto selloff caused by problems within the crypto industry?
No. The evidence suggests that the selloff is driven by macroeconomic liquidity conditions rather than any failure in blockchain technology or crypto adoption.
Why is Bitcoin moving like tech stocks?
Bitcoin and SaaS stocks are both long-duration assets, meaning they depend heavily on future growth expectations and are highly sensitive to interest rates and liquidity changes.
What role did gold play in the downturn?
Gold absorbed a large share of available liquidity during its rally, reducing the capital available for risk assets such as crypto and growth stocks.
Are interest rates the main risk for crypto right now?
Liquidity matters more than rates alone. While rate expectations influence sentiment, actual liquidity flows have a stronger impact on asset prices.
Is the long-term outlook for crypto still positive?
Many macro analysts remain strongly bullish on crypto for the coming years, especially if liquidity conditions improve as expected.
Debunking the Fear Around the Federal Reserve Narrative
Some analysts have attributed the crypto downturn to concerns over a potentially hawkish Federal Reserve leadership, particularly fears that future rate cuts may be slower than expected.
Raoul Pal strongly rejects this explanation. He argues that the market is misunderstanding the likely policy direction. According to his view, the Federal Reserve’s approach will resemble the Greenspan-era playbook, focusing on rate cuts while allowing economic growth to run hot.
Under this framework, productivity gains driven by artificial intelligence are expected to help manage inflation, giving policymakers room to ease financial conditions without triggering instability.
If this outlook proves accurate, the current liquidity squeeze may represent a temporary phase rather than a structural shift.
Why 2026 Could Be a Breakout Year for Crypto
Despite the pain felt across crypto markets, Pal remains firmly bullish on the medium-term outlook. He believes that most of the liquidity drain is nearing its end, and that the market is gradually gaining clarity on how fiscal and monetary forces will interact over the next cycle.
When liquidity returns, long-duration assets tend to rebound aggressively. Historically, Bitcoin has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of such shifts.
Rather than signaling the end of crypto, this selloff may ultimately be remembered as the final shakeout before the next expansion phase.
Final Thoughts: Macro Forces Matter More Than Headlines
The recent crypto crash was dramatic, but drama does not equal diagnosis. When Bitcoin moves in lockstep with SaaS stocks and reacts to Treasury liquidity flows, the message is clear.
This was not a failure of crypto.
It was a reminder that macro liquidity still rules global markets.For long-term investors, understanding that difference can be the edge that separates panic from opportunity.
Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned investor, BYDFi gives you the tools to trade with confidence — low fees, fast execution, copy trading for newcomers, and access to hundreds of digital assets in a secure, user-friendly environment.
2026-02-04 · 5 hours agoTop 10 Cryptos: The Best Coins to Buy in 2026
Key Takeaways:
- A balanced portfolio in 2026 requires a mix of "Blue Chip" stability (Bitcoin/Ethereum) and high-growth sectors like AI and Real World Assets.
- Solana continues to dominate the high-speed Layer-1 sector, driving mass adoption through consumer applications.
- Investors must look beyond price and analyze utility, tokenomics, and institutional adoption when selecting assets.
Selecting the Top 10 cryptos for your portfolio is significantly harder in 2026 than it was a few years ago. The market has matured from a speculative casino into a legitimate financial sector integrated with Wall Street. With over two million tokens in existence, finding the winners requires filtering out the noise.
The days of buying random tickers and hoping for a moonshot are over. Today, smart money flows into projects with real revenue, regulatory compliance, and technological moats. Whether you are a conservative investor looking for safety or a risk-taker looking for growth, this list breaks down the essential assets that define the current market landscape.
Which Assets Are the "Blue Chip" Anchors?
Every list of the Top 10 cryptos must start with the kings. These are the assets that institutions buy.
1. Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin is no longer just crypto; it is a global reserve asset. With nations and corporations holding it on their balance sheets, it offers the lowest risk profile. In 2026, it acts as the ultimate hedge against monetary inflation. If you don't own Bitcoin, you are essentially shorting the future of finance.2. Ethereum (ETH)
If Bitcoin is digital gold, Ethereum is the digital app store. It remains the dominant platform for Decentralized Finance (DeFi) and NFTs. With its deflationary supply and massive developer ecosystem, it is the safest bet on the growth of Web3 software.Who Is Winning the Speed War?
3. Solana (SOL)
Solana has cemented its place in the Top 10 cryptos by being the "chain for the people." Its low fees and high speed have made it the home for retail trading, gaming, and meme coins. While Ethereum handles high-value institutional settlement, Solana handles the massive volume of everyday consumer transactions.4. Binance Coin (BNB)
As the native token of the world's largest exchange ecosystem, BNB is a powerhouse. It offers utility through fee discounts and acts as the fuel for the BNB Chain. Its unique "burn" mechanism ensures that the supply constantly decreases, creating long-term value for holders.What About Artificial Intelligence?
The narrative of 2026 is the convergence of AI and Blockchain.
5. Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET/ASI)
This token represents the merger of top AI protocols like Fetch.ai and Ocean Protocol. It aims to build a decentralized AI network that competes with centralized giants. As AI agents begin to pay each other for data, this token serves as the currency of the machine economy.6. Render (RNDR)
Often called the "Nvidia of Crypto," Render allows users to rent out their GPU power for 3D rendering and AI training. With the demand for computing power exploding, Render provides a decentralized solution that is cheaper and more accessible than centralized cloud providers.Is Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization Profitable?
7. Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink is the bridge between the real world and the blockchain. Its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) is the standard used by banks to move value between private bank chains and public crypto networks. It is the most critical piece of infrastructure in the industry.8. Ondo Finance (ONDO)
Ondo is leading the charge in tokenizing US Treasury bills. It allows investors to earn stable, government-backed yield on-chain. As trillions of dollars of traditional assets move onto the blockchain, protocols like Ondo are becoming essential pillars of the Top 10 cryptos lists.Which Layer-2s Are Essential?
9. Arbitrum (ARB)
While Ethereum is the settlement layer, Arbitrum is where the trading happens. It holds the highest Total Value Locked (TVL) of any Layer-2. As the home of serious DeFi traders, it captures a massive amount of economic activity while inheriting Ethereum's security.10. Dogecoin (DOGE)
No list is complete without the king of memes. While it started as a joke, Dogecoin has survived every bear market to become a legitimate cultural currency. In 2026, it is widely accepted for payments and remains the entry point for millions of new retail investors.How Should You Allocate Your Portfolio?
Identifying the Top 10 cryptos is only the first step; you must also manage your risk. A common strategy is the "Barbell Approach."
Allocate 70% of your capital to the anchors (BTC and ETH) to protect your wealth. Allocate the remaining 30% to high-growth sectors like Solana, AI, and RWAs to chase outsized returns.
Never go "all in" on a single altcoin. Diversification is your only defense against black swan events.
Where Can You Buy These Assets Safely?
The most important decision after choosing what to buy is choosing where to buy. You need a platform that offers deep liquidity for all these assets.
Using a fragmented approach—buying Bitcoin on one app and AI tokens on a decentralized exchange—is inefficient and risky. Centralized hubs allow you to manage your entire portfolio in one view.
Conclusion
The market of 2026 offers more opportunities than ever before. From the safety of Bitcoin to the explosive potential of AI tokens, the Top 10 cryptos listed here represent the best of the digital economy.
Building a portfolio takes time and discipline. Don't chase green candles; build positions in high-quality assets. Register at BYDFi today to access every token on this list and utilize professional trading tools like Spot and Quick Buy to execute your strategy instantly.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Is it too late to buy the top 10 cryptos?
A: No. While the early "1000x" days for Bitcoin might be over, the asset class is still in the early stages of global adoption compared to the stock market or real estate.Q: How often does the top 10 list change?
A: The top 3 (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether) are very stable. However, the bottom half of the list rotates frequently based on market trends (e.g., AI vs. Metaverse vs. DeFi).Q: Should I hold these coins on an exchange?
A: For active trading, keeping funds on a secure exchange like BYDFi is convenient. For long-term savings of large amounts, cold storage is recommended.2026-02-04 · 5 hours agoBitcoin Timeline: The Key Milestones That Defined History
Key Takeaways:
- Bitcoin has evolved from an obscure cryptographic experiment in 2008 to a globally recognized asset class held by nations in 2026.
- Key events like the "Bitcoin Pizza" purchase and the Mt. Gox collapse tested the network's resilience and defined its early culture.
- The approval of Spot ETFs marked the transition from the "Wild West" era to the institutional era, fundamentally changing market dynamics.
To understand where the market is going in 2026, you must understand where it came from. The Bitcoin timeline is not just a chart of prices going up and down; it is the story of a technological revolution fighting for survival.
Every dip, every crash, and every all-time high tells a specific story of adoption and resistance. From anonymous emails on a cypherpunk mailing list to the balance sheets of Wall Street giants, Bitcoin has survived bans, wars, and internal civil wars. By tracing these key milestones, investors can see the pattern of resilience that defines the world's first digital commodity.
2008-2009: How Did It All Begin?
The Bitcoin timeline officially begins on October 31, 2008. In the shadow of the Global Financial Crisis, an anonymous entity named Satoshi Nakamoto published a whitepaper titled Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.
It was a direct response to the banking failures of the time. On January 3, 2009, Satoshi mined the "Genesis Block" (Block 0). Embedded in the code was a headline from The Times: "Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks." This planted the flag of rebellion. For the first year, Bitcoin had no monetary value. It was simply mined by a few computer scientists and cryptographers testing the network.
2010: What Was the Most Expensive Pizza in History?
Value is a social construct, and Bitcoin became money on May 22, 2010. A programmer named Laszlo Hanyecz agreed to pay 10,000 BTC for two Papa John's pizzas.
At the time, those coins were worth about $41. Today, that transaction is worth hundreds of millions of dollars. This event, now celebrated as "Bitcoin Pizza Day," was the first time Bitcoin was exchanged for real-world goods. It proved that the digital tokens could have purchasing power.
2011-2013: Why Was the Silk Road Important?
Adoption often starts at the fringes. In 2011, the dark web marketplace Silk Road launched, using Bitcoin as its primary currency. While illegal, it demonstrated Bitcoin’s utility as censorship-resistant money.
This era also saw the first major exchange hack. In 2014, Mt. Gox, which handled 70% of all Bitcoin transactions, collapsed. It lost 850,000 BTC. Critics declared Bitcoin dead. However, the network survived. The collapse of Mt. Gox forced the industry to build better, more secure infrastructure, laying the groundwork for the modern exchanges we use today.
2017: When Did Bitcoin Go Mainstream?
The Bitcoin timeline hit a fever pitch in 2017. This was the year of the "ICO Boom" and the first major retail mania. Bitcoin price surged from $1,000 to nearly $20,000 in December.
Futures trading launched on the CME, marking the first time traditional finance acknowledged the asset. However, this was also the year of the "Block Size War." The community split over how to scale the network, leading to the hard fork creation of Bitcoin Cash. Bitcoin (BTC) won the war, cementing its status as "digital gold" rather than a cheap payment network.
2020-2021: Who Brought the Institutions?
The COVID-19 pandemic changed the narrative forever. As central banks printed trillions of dollars to save the economy, investors looked for an inflation hedge.
Paul Tudor Jones publicly announced he was buying Bitcoin. Then, in a historic move, MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor converted the company's treasury into Bitcoin. Tesla followed suit shortly after. This was the moment Bitcoin graduated from a retail speculative toy to an institutional corporate asset.
2024: How Did the ETFs Change the Game?
January 2024 is perhaps the most critical date in the modern Bitcoin timeline. The US SEC approved the first Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
BlackRock, Fidelity, and other giants entered the arena. This opened the floodgates for pension funds and 401(k) accounts to invest in Bitcoin without managing private keys. It legitimized the asset class in the eyes of the global financial system and reduced volatility, setting the stage for the mature market we see in 2026.
2026: Where Are We Now?
Today, we are in the era of sovereign adoption. Following the lead of El Salvador (which made BTC legal tender in 2021), other nations and states are beginning to accumulate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
The network is now processing transactions via Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network, fulfilling the original promise of payments while maintaining the security of the base layer. The volatility of the early days has dampened, replaced by a steady, grinding adoption curve driven by scarcity and mathematical certainty.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin timeline is a testament to anti-fragility. Every time the world tried to kill it—through bans, hacks, or crashes—it came back stronger.
We are no longer early, but we are still in the beginning of the digital age. Owning a piece of this history is a bet on the future of money itself. Register at BYDFi today to become part of the timeline and secure your position in the world's premier digital asset.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who owns the most Bitcoin?
A: Satoshi Nakamoto is estimated to own roughly 1.1 million BTC. However, the coins have never moved. The largest active holders are ETF issuers like BlackRock and corporations like MicroStrategy.Q: How many times has Bitcoin "died"?
A: Mainstream media has written "Bitcoin Obituaries" over 475 times since 2010. Despite this, the network has maintained 99.99% uptime.Q: When is the next big milestone?
A: The next major technical milestone is the 2028 Halving, which will cut the block reward again, further reducing the new supply entering the market.2026-02-04 · 5 hours agoSantiment Says Crypto’s Persistent Fear Is a Bullish Indicator
Lingering Extreme Fear in Crypto Sparks Optimism: Experts See Bullish Signals
The cryptocurrency market is currently awash with fear, uncertainty, and doubt—but some analysts believe that the very sentiment scaring investors may actually be a sign of upcoming opportunities. According to crypto analytics platform Santiment, the intense negativity dominating social media discussions could be one of the strongest bullish indicators available today.
Extreme Negativity: A Silver Lining
Santiment’s latest report highlights a silver lining in the widespread pessimism among crypto enthusiasts and investors. Social media, typically a hub for speculation and hype, is currently dominated by fear-driven commentary. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, a popular tool for measuring market sentiment, recorded an “Extreme Fear” score of 20 on Saturday—reflecting a market deeply cautious about short-term movements. This comes after hitting 16 on Friday, marking the lowest sentiment score of 2026 and the first time since December 19 that investors exhibited such strong anxiety.
According to Santiment, this kind of overwhelming negativity is historically linked to market reversals. When the majority of participants expect prices to fall further, it often sets the stage for a rebound, the report stated. In other words, extreme fear could signal that the market is nearing a turning point, with the potential for an upward shift on the horizon.
Bitcoin and Ether Under Pressure
The fear in the market is not without reason. Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a nearly 7% decline over the past week, trading around $83,950, while Ether (ETH) has dropped more than 9%, currently priced at $2,690. Bitcoin has struggled to break past the psychologically significant $100,000 level since November 13, prompting speculation that the market may have entered an extended period of consolidation—or even a bear phase.
Yet, despite these declines, analysts see opportunity in the chaos. Markets often move contrary to collective expectations, and extreme caution by investors can sometimes signal the perfect entry point for those looking to capitalize on a potential upswing.
Temporary Sentiment or Long-Term Shift?
Not all experts are convinced that the market will immediately bounce back. Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen cautioned in a recent video that the much-discussed rotation from traditional assets like gold and silver into crypto may not materialize in the short term. He emphasized that while excitement is building, immediate returns may not match the market’s high expectations.
However, industry insiders argue that the current sentiment may be only a temporary blip. Shan Aggarwal, Chief Business Officer at Coinbase, noted that despite negative sentiment, there are clear signs of long-term growth and adoption if investors pay close attention.
Institutional Momentum Signals a Bright Future
Aggarwal points to increasing institutional interest as a key factor supporting a potential rebound. Major financial players—including MasterCard, PayPal, American Express, and JPMorgan—have been actively hiring for crypto-related roles, signaling that the industry is expanding beyond niche circles into mainstream finance.
Similarly, Bitwise CEO Huntley Horsley emphasized that despite short-term declines, the crypto sector is hurtling toward the mainstream, suggesting that today’s fear may pave the way for tomorrow’s broader adoption and market expansion.
Reading Between the Lines
For investors, understanding the emotional climate of the market can be as important as tracking prices. Extreme fear, while uncomfortable, has historically served as a contrarian indicator—alerting savvy investors to potential buying opportunities. While caution is warranted, the current market dynamics suggest that those who can navigate through fear may find themselves well-positioned for future gains.
In summary, while the crypto market is grappling with extreme negativity, experts highlight that this fear itself could be a precursor to a rebound. As the market continues to evolve, those willing to pay attention to the underlying signals, rather than the headlines, may discover opportunities hidden within the fear.
Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned investor, BYDFi gives you the tools to trade with confidence — low fees, fast execution, copy trading for newcomers, and access to hundreds of digital assets in a secure, user-friendly environment.
2026-02-03 · a day ago
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